Screen Shot 2014-10-23 at 12.54.17 AMPrepared by the good people at Random Walk, LLC. (and Scott)

Wednesday 2:00 rate decision and end of QE 3,000 announcement.

Great Morning

Closing Prices From Yesterday

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RW TodayToday’s Number(s)

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Yesterday and Today

Yesterday

Like almost all (maybe all) days prior to the Fed rate decision the market was higher. The markets opened up 60 Dow points (about 8 S&P) and found a home until about 11am, then started their assent again. Good economic earnings and really crummy economic numbers did it. Really?

Look….I will say this until I can’t speak anymore. We are going to keep going higher despite ISIS in the US, Ebola in the US, etc. All that will ruin this market is rising rates (making bonds more attractive) or an economy in a downturn.

TODAY

Prior to the Fed at 2:00 we can expect the usual….

  • A little zig-zagging

  • A little run, then stop, then run again

  • A little boredom

What makes today a little weird is the role OIL had been playing in the markets. We have crude inventories coming out today and people are prepared for huge inventories (bearish for oil). Jim Kramer has been talking about how there is oil stuck in containers, trains, warehouses, etc. People are expecting a huge inventory of oil which is why oil is at $81. A surprise would be not as much oil inventory as expected. This would shock oil and cause a huge run higher.

As for the Fed, this is the last $15 billion of $4 trillion going into the markets. The FED KNOWS that people are nervous, so they are going to be wording their statement more carefully than ever. This, therefore, should be a non-event.

Combined

IF oil moves higher and the Fed is a non-event I would not be surprised by another huge up day pushing us close to the ALL-TIME high in the Dow. If oil falls and the Fed Chairman states something ever-so-wrong all bets are off and we could get a day or two of selling before the bounce.

pot1POT….We were working two orders (one in RUT and one in SPX) that were NOT filled.

I will redo do them, or something similar, on the open hour.

POT is held each Wednesday night at 7:00pm eastern.

Contract the office at 1- 855 – RWT – 0008 for more details.

Too True To Be Funny

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Attorney Stuff

MugDISCLAIMER (Seriously!)

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